Nearly 10 percent more small- to mid-sized businesses intend to hire, driven by expectations for increased profit growth, optimism in economy
SAN DIEGO, January 11, 2018 — CEOs voiced the most optimistic economic outlook in 14 years in the Q4 2017 Vistage CEO Confidence Index. The index spiked to 110.3 from the prior quarter’s 103. Among U.S. small- to mid-sized business leadership, planned increases in hiring and expected revenue growth were the highest in a dozen years, anticipated profit growth was the highest in ten years, and intentions to expand investments in their productive capacity reached the highest level since the closing quarter of 2004.
“This surge in optimism about all aspects of their firm’s health were recorded before the final passage of the tax reform measure, but its passage was certainly anticipated,” said Dr. Richard Curtin, Director of Research at University of Michigan, who analyzed the data. “One might anticipate that as the specifics of the tax reforms become more widely understood, firms would react even more positively.”
Survey highlights include:
- Surge in hiring: 71 percent of CEOs said they plan to increase hiring in the next year, up from last quarter’s 62 percent. The recent reading represents the highest percentage of respondents with planned workforce additions since 2003.
- Strong investment spending: Intentions to increase investments in new plant and equipment rose to 54 percent, the highest number to plan increased investment spending in more than a dozen years.
- Robust revenue and profit outlook: 83 percent of CEOs anticipate gains in revenues during the year ahead, the highest level since 2005. Profit expectations also improved, with 67 percent anticipating higher profits in 2018.
Among all firms, 66 percent reported the economy had recently improved, up from last quarter’s 52 percent. When asked about prospects for the year ahead, 45 percent anticipated continued gains, up from 32 percent in the prior quarter.
“It is clear that CEOs anticipate strong economic growth in 2018,” said Vistage Chief Research Officer, Joe Galvin. “And with credit more easily available, CEOs see now as an opportune time to invest in their people, technology, and infrastructure. However, the decisions they face are neither obvious nor simple if they want to capitalize on the continuing strong economy”
Read the full results .
About the Vistage CEO Confidence Index
The Vistage CEO Confidence Index, established in 2003, is a quarterly survey of small- to mid-sized business CEOs, presidents, and business owners about the U.S. economy. The Q4 2017 Vistage CEO Confidence Index includes responses from 1,377 U.S. CEOs, surveyed between December 11 and December 18, 2017. Since its establishment in 2003, the Index has proven to be a reliable indicator for changes in GDP and employment, two to three quarters hence.
About Vistage Worldwide, Inc. Vistage Worldwide is an organization designed exclusively for high-integrity CEOs and executive leaders who are looking to drive better decisions and better results for their companies. Our members -- 21,000 strong in more than 20 countries -- gather in trusted, confidential peer advisory groups where they tackle their toughest challenges and biggest opportunities. Leveraging the Vistage platform, our members have demonstrated the ability to refine their instincts, improve their judgment, expand their perspectives and optimize decision making. CEOs who joined Vistage grew their companies at three times the rate of the average U.S. company, according to a 2015 analysis of Dun & Bradstreet data. Learn more at vistage.com.
Katie McWeeney | Vistage
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